Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.017034 0.018954 0.020884 0.022965 0.025141 0.027342 0.029733
2025-04-06 0.012708 0.015734 0.018921 0.022495 0.026361 0.030393 0.034892
2025-04-13 0.009520 0.013053 0.016932 0.021425 0.026418 0.031740 0.037788
2025-04-20 0.008042 0.012006 0.016503 0.021842 0.027886 0.034423 0.041940
2025-04-27 0.006489 0.010663 0.015573 0.021544 0.028430 0.035977 0.044751
2025-05-04 0.005119 0.009371 0.014568 0.021047 0.028648 0.037085 0.046989
2025-05-11 0.004297 0.008671 0.014199 0.021228 0.029585 0.038950 0.050021
2025-05-18 0.003460 0.007844 0.013597 0.021070 0.030078 0.040269 0.052404
2025-05-25 0.002630 0.006907 0.012780 0.020589 0.030143 0.041059 0.054150
2025-06-01 0.002010 0.006185 0.012182 0.020332 0.030436 0.042080 0.056130
2025-06-08 0.001454 0.005457 0.011515 0.019944 0.030538 0.042851 0.057799
2025-06-15 0.001114 0.005030 0.011229 0.020017 0.031177 0.044232 0.060153
2025-06-22 0.000694 0.004367 0.010614 0.019714 0.031439 0.045278 0.062258
2025-06-29 0.000343 0.003675 0.009909 0.019283 0.031559 0.046189 0.064254
2025-07-06 0.000071 0.002823 0.008841 0.018290 0.030925 0.046163 0.065128
2025-07-13 0.000017 0.002606 0.008782 0.018677 0.032030 0.048217 0.068430
2025-07-20 NaN 0.002166 0.008278 0.018401 0.032260 0.049194 0.070448
2025-07-27 NaN 0.001714 0.007674 0.017940 0.032223 0.049824 0.072037
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001507 0.007509 0.018108 0.032997 0.051439 0.074788
2025-08-10 NaN 0.001231 0.007151 0.017961 0.033340 0.052512 0.076881
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000914 0.006620 0.017516 0.033262 0.053049 0.078320
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000689 0.006239 0.017278 0.033447 0.053900 0.080125
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000476 0.005802 0.016920 0.033451 0.054511 0.081631